Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.748835 3.995467 4.257597 4.558222 4.895083 5.262812 5.697218
2025-09-28 3.320227 3.659769 4.041653 4.507892 5.068720 5.730997 6.587045
2025-10-05 3.075149 3.465989 3.922675 4.505287 5.243559 6.169949 7.459207
2025-10-12 2.935402 3.369099 3.892120 4.584818 5.503872 6.723368 8.546650
2025-10-19 2.818922 3.284113 3.860065 4.647670 5.735825 7.255426 9.689635
2025-10-26 2.701863 3.186019 3.798476 4.658682 5.889127 7.687123 10.758046
2025-11-02 2.570388 3.058876 3.687047 4.587837 5.912360 7.920901 11.544185
2025-11-09 2.439038 2.923281 3.554033 4.473526 5.855925 8.017300 12.102784
2025-11-16 2.338518 2.822387 3.460665 4.406499 5.860828 8.207658 12.870913
2025-11-23 2.280953 2.775221 3.436893 4.436555 6.015738 8.665122 14.277398
2025-11-30 2.223774 2.725147 3.405237 4.450919 6.144513 9.092526 15.745863
2025-12-07 2.123515 2.611490 3.277733 4.311129 6.006047 9.012899 16.031926
2025-12-14 2.043624 2.524990 3.187908 4.228232 5.963749 9.123699 16.859100
2025-12-21 1.980754 2.459903 3.126089 4.185246 5.986379 9.365304 18.118816
2025-12-28 1.934177 2.415590 3.091981 4.183023 6.078864 9.759936 19.967767
2026-01-04 1.910755 2.402829 3.103190 4.253445 6.307621 10.478856 23.181970
2026-01-11 1.884868 2.385172 3.105712 4.309030 6.514141 11.191078 26.888509
2026-01-18 1.849059 2.351554 3.082122 4.318763 6.633479 11.726595 30.382929
2026-01-25 1.797795 2.293490 3.018456 4.256117 6.604344 11.896548 32.481669
2026-02-01 1.740103 2.224245 2.934967 4.154881 6.489546 11.833442 33.472693
2026-02-08 1.695216 2.172676 2.877179 4.095432 6.454999 11.974603 35.667599
2026-02-15 1.672523 2.153308 2.868894 4.122098 6.600060 12.622983 41.449500
2026-02-22 1.647836 2.130090 2.853450 4.134838 6.716862 13.222185 47.980036